Saints vs. Broncos Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Thursday Night Football Week 7

Published 7:38 pm Wednesday, October 16, 2024

On Thursday, Oct. 17 at 8:15 p.m. ET, the Denver Broncos will face the New Orleans Saints at Caesars Superdome. Our computer model projects a win for the Saints — see below for more info, regarding the point spread, total and final score.

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The Broncos have struggled on offense, ranking fourth-worst in the NFL (278.2 yards per game) this season. However, they rank fourth-best defensively, surrendering just 284.3 yards per game. The Saints rank 18th in total yards per game (319.8), but they’ve been less productive defensively, ranking worst in the NFL with 395.8 total yards allowed per contest.

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Saints vs. Broncos Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Saints (+2.5) Over (37) Saints 23, Broncos 22

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Saints Betting Info

  • The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 45.5% chance of a victory for the Saints.
  • New Orleans is 3-3-0 ATS this season.
  • The Saints have been an underdog by 2.5 points or more four times this season, and covered the spread in two of those matchups.
  • So far this season, four of New Orleans’ six games with a set number have hit the over.
  • The average total for Saints games is 44.2 points, 7.2 more than this game’s over/under.

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Broncos Betting Info

  • Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Broncos’ implied win probability is 59.2%.
  • Denver is 4-2-0 ATS this season.
  • The Broncos have covered the spread when playing as at least 2.5-point favorites in their only opportunity this season.
  • A total of three out of six Denver games this season have gone over the point total.
  • Broncos games average 38.5 total points per game this season (playoffs included), 1.5 greater than the over/under for this matchup.

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Saints vs. Broncos 2024 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Broncos 18.7 16 18.7 18 18.7 14
Saints 27.8 24.5 28.7 25.3 27 23.7

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