Nicholls State vs. SFA Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – March 1

Published 7:58 pm Friday, February 28, 2025

Saturday’s contest at William R. Johnson Coliseum has the Nicholls State Colonels (18-11, 12-6 Southland) taking on the Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (14-15, 7-11 Southland) at 6 p.m. (on March 1). Our computer prediction projects a 71-67 victory for Nicholls State, who is a small favorite based on our model.

Based on our computer prediction, Nicholls State projects to cover the 1.5-point spread in its matchup against SFA. The over/under is listed at 140.5, and the two sides are projected to come in below that total.

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Nicholls State vs. SFA Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Saturday, March 1, 2025
  • Time: 6 p.m. ET
  • TV: ESPN+
  • Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Where: Huntsville, Texas
  • Venue: William R. Johnson Coliseum
  • Line: Nicholls State -1.5
  • Point total: 140.5
  • Moneyline (to win): Nicholls State -122, SFA +102

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Nicholls State vs. SFA Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Nicholls State 71, SFA 67

Spread & Total Prediction for Nicholls State vs. SFA

  • Pick ATS: Nicholls State (-1.5)
  • Pick OU: Under (140.5)

Nicholls State has gone 17-9-0 against the spread, while SFA’s ATS record this season is 9-16-0. In terms of hitting the over, games involving the Colonels are 12-14-0 and the ‘Jacks are 10-15-0. The two teams score an average of 141.3 points per game, 0.8 more points than this matchup’s total. In the last 10 contests, Nicholls State is 7-3 against the spread and 7-3 overall while SFA has gone 2-8 against the spread and 5-5 overall.

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Nicholls State Performance Insights

  • The Colonels’ +134 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 4.6 points per game) is a result of scoring 74.7 points per game (151st in college basketball) while allowing 70.1 per contest (124th in college basketball).
  • Nicholls State is 105th in college basketball at 33.2 rebounds per game. That’s similar to the 32.6 its opponents average.
  • Nicholls State connects on 7.6 three-pointers per game (187th in college basketball), 1.2 more than its opponents (6.4). It is shooting 34.3% from deep (166th in college basketball) while allowing opponents to shoot 29.7%.
  • The Colonels rank 209th in college basketball with 94.5 points scored per 100 possessions, and 69th in college basketball defensively with 88.6 points conceded per 100 possessions.
  • Nicholls State has committed 9.9 turnovers per game (52nd in college basketball play), two fewer than the 11.9 it forces on average (134th in college basketball).

SFA Performance Insights

  • The ‘Jacks put up 66.6 points per game (343rd in college basketball) while allowing 66.5 per contest (39th in college basketball). They have a +2 scoring differential.
  • SFA comes out on top in the rebound battle by an average of 2.6 boards. It pulls down 33.8 rebounds per game (78th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 31.2.
  • SFA makes 5.8 three-pointers per game (341st in college basketball), while its opponents have made 6.7 on average.
  • SFA has committed 14.8 turnovers per game (357th in college basketball) while forcing 14 (25th in college basketball).

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