Saints vs. Chiefs Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Monday Night Football Week 5

Published 7:37 pm Sunday, October 6, 2024

Our computer model projects a victory for the Kansas City Chiefs when they face the New Orleans Saints at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Monday, Oct. 7 at 8:15 p.m. ET — for a full breakdown regarding the spread, over/under and final score, continue reading.

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On offense, the Chiefs rank 15th in the NFL with 328.3 yards per game. Meanwhile, they rank 13th in total defense (326.8 yards allowed per contest). In terms of total offense, the Saints rank 12th in the NFL (349 total yards per game) and 16th on the other side of the ball (330.3 total yards allowed per game).

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Saints vs. Chiefs Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Toss Up (Spread: Chiefs by 5.5) Over (43) Chiefs 26, Saints 19

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Saints Betting Info

  • The Saints have a 33.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • New Orleans is 3-1-0 ATS this season.
  • The Saints have won their only game this year when playing as at least 5.5-point underdogs.
  • In New Orleans’ four contests this year, the combined scoring has gone over the point total three times.
  • The average total points scored in Saints games (postseason included) this year (43) is 1.9 points higher than the total for this matchup.

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Chiefs Betting Info

  • The Chiefs have a 71.4% chance to win this contest based on the moneyline’s implied probability.
  • Kansas City has won two games against the spread this season.
  • The Chiefs have been favored by 5.5 points or more this season twice, and failed to cover both times.
  • Kansas City games have gone over the point total twice this season.
  • The average total for Chiefs games this season has been 45.4, 2.4 points higher than the total for this game.

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Saints vs. Chiefs 2024 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Chiefs 23 18 26.5 22.5 19.5 13.5
Saints 31.8 17.5 29.5 12.5 34 22.5

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