Saints vs. Buccaneers Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Week 6

Published 3:36 pm Saturday, October 12, 2024

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers will meet the New Orleans Saints at Caesars Superdome on Sunday, Oct. 13 at 1 p.m. ET. Our computer model projects that the Saints will win — see below for more information regarding the spread, over/under and final score.

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Offensively, the Buccaneers rank 10th in the NFL with 25.4 points per game. Meanwhile, they rank 17th in points allowed (378.2 points allowed per contest). The Saints rank 17th with 323.2 total yards per contest on offense, and they rank 23rd with 356.2 total yards given up per game on the defensive side of the ball.

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Saints vs. Buccaneers Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Saints (+3.5) Over (42) Saints 25, Buccaneers 24

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Saints Betting Info

  • The implied probability of a win by the Saints based on the moneyline is 40.0%.
  • New Orleans has covered three times in five matchups with a spread this season.
  • The Saints have covered the spread once this year (1-1 ATS) when playing as at least 3.5-point underdogs.
  • So far this season, three of New Orleans’ five games with a set number have hit the over.
  • The average total for Saints games (playoffs included) is 44.5 points, 2.5 more than this game’s over/under.

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Buccaneers Betting Info

  • The Buccaneers have a 64.9% chance to win this game based on the moneyline’s implied probability.
  • Tampa Bay is 3-2-0 ATS this season.
  • The Buccaneers have covered the spread once when favored by 3.5 points or more this season (in two opportunities).
  • In Tampa Bay’s five games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total three times.
  • The over/under in this matchup is 42 points, 2.1 fewer than the average total in this season’s Buccaneers contests.

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Saints vs. Buccaneers 2024 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Buccaneers 25.4 22.8 25.7 20.7 25 26
Saints 28 19.2 29.5 12.5 27 23.7

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