Saints vs. Falcons Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Week 4
Published 3:36 pm Saturday, September 28, 2024
Our computer model projects a victory for the New Orleans Saints when they play the Atlanta Falcons at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sunday, Sept. 29 at 1:00 p.m. ET — for a full breakdown regarding the spread, over/under and final score, continue reading.
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The Falcons rank 26th in scoring offense (16.3 points per game) and 13th in scoring defense (20.3 points allowed per game) this year. The Saints are compiling 343.3 total yards per contest on offense this season (ninth-ranked). Meanwhile, they are allowing 335.3 total yards per game (21st-ranked).
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Saints vs. Falcons Predictions and Picks
| ATS | Over/Under | Score Prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Saints (+3) | Over (41) | Saints 22, Falcons 21 |
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Saints Betting Info
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 43.5% chance of a victory for the Saints.
- New Orleans has covered twice in three chances against the spread this year.
- The Saints have covered the spread when playing as at least 3-point underdogs in their only opportunity this season.
- This year, games featuring New Orleans have hit the over twice.
- The average total for Saints games is 46 points, five more than this game’s over/under.
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Falcons Betting Info
- Based on this game’s moneyline, the Falcons have an implied win probability of 60.8%.
- Atlanta has won one game against the spread this season.
- The Falcons have not covered the spread when favored by 3 points or more this season (in one opportunity).
- So far this season, none of Atlanta’s games have hit the over.
- The average total for Falcons games this season has been 45.2, 4.2 points higher than the total for this game.
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Saints vs. Falcons 2024 Scoring Insights
| Pts | Pts Allowed | Home Pts | Home Pts Allowed | Away Pts | Away Pts Allowed | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Falcons | 16.3 | 20.3 | 13.5 | 20 | 22 | 21 |
| Saints | 34.3 | 14.7 | 29.5 | 12.5 | 44 | 19 |
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