SFA vs. Nicholls State Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – March 1

Published 7:58 pm Friday, February 28, 2025

Saturday’s game that pits the Nicholls State Colonels (18-11, 12-6 Southland) against the Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (14-15, 7-11 Southland) at William R. Johnson Coliseum has a projected final score of 71-67 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of Nicholls State, who we project as a small favorite in this matchup. Game time is at 6 p.m. ET on March 1.

Based on our computer prediction, Nicholls State is projected to cover the spread (1.5) versus SFA. The two teams are projected to put up the same number of points as the 138.5 over/under.

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SFA vs. Nicholls State Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Saturday, March 1, 2025
  • Time: 6 p.m. ET
  • TV: ESPN+
  • Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Where: Huntsville, Texas
  • Venue: William R. Johnson Coliseum
  • Line: SFA -1.5
  • Point total: 138.5
  • Moneyline (to win): SFA -115, Nicholls State -104

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SFA vs. Nicholls State Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Nicholls State 71, SFA 67

Spread & Total Prediction for SFA vs. Nicholls State

  • Pick ATS: Nicholls State (+1.5)
  • Pick OU: Over (138.5)

SFA has compiled a 9-16-0 record against the spread this season, while Nicholls State is 17-9-0. A total of 10 out of the ‘Jacks’ games this season have hit the over, and 12 of the Colonels’ games have gone over. The two teams combine to score 141.3 points per game, 2.8 more points than this matchup’s total. SFA is 2-8 against the spread and 5-5 overall in its last 10 contests, while Nicholls State has gone 7-3 against the spread and 7-3 overall.

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SFA Performance Insights

  • The ‘Jacks average 66.6 points per game (343rd in college basketball) while allowing 66.5 per outing (39th in college basketball). They have a +2 scoring differential overall.
  • SFA wins the rebound battle by an average of 2.6 boards. It is recording 33.8 rebounds per game (78th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 31.2 per contest.
  • SFA makes 5.8 three-pointers per game (341st in college basketball) at a 28.6% rate (357th in college basketball), compared to the 6.7 its opponents make while shooting 31.7% from beyond the arc.
  • The ‘Jacks’ 84.1 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 358th in college basketball, and the 84 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 14th in college basketball.
  • SFA has committed 14.8 turnovers per game (358th in college basketball play) while forcing 14 (25th in college basketball).

Nicholls State Performance Insights

  • The Colonels have a +134 scoring differential, topping opponents by 4.6 points per game. They’re putting up 74.7 points per game, 152nd in college basketball, and are allowing 70.1 per contest to rank 125th in college basketball.
  • The 33.2 rebounds per game Nicholls State accumulates rank 104th in the nation. Their opponents record 32.6.
  • Nicholls State knocks down 1.2 more threes per game than the opposition, 7.6 (186th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 6.4.
  • Nicholls State has won the turnover battle by two per game, committing 9.9 (50th in college basketball) while forcing 11.9 (135th in college basketball).

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