NBA Best Bets: Mavericks vs. Pelicans Picks for February 21
Published 5:39 pm Friday, February 21, 2025
The New Orleans Pelicans (13-42) visit the Dallas Mavericks (30-26) after losing seven road games in a row. The Mavericks are favored by 5.5 points in the matchup, which starts at 8:30 PM ET on Friday, February 21, 2025.
Our computer predictions for Friday’s game will assist you in making an informed wager using the best bets on the board.
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Mavericks vs. Pelicans Game Info
- When: Friday, February 21, 2025 at 8:30 PM ET
- Where: American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas
- TV: KFAA and Gulf Coast Sports
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
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Mavericks vs. Pelicans Best Bets
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Kyrie Irving Over 27.5 PTS
- The 27.5-point total set for Kyrie Irving on Friday is 2.9 more points than his season scoring average.
- Irving has hit the over 23 times on a points prop this season (in 44 tries).
- The Mavericks are the NBA’s 11th-ranked scoring squad (115.7 points per game), while the Pelicans are 27th in points conceded (119.4 per game).
- Dallas has a 17-5 record when finishing with more points than 119.4.
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Trey Murphy III Over 22.5 PTS
- The 22.5-point prop total for Trey Murphy III on Friday is 0.1 higher than his scoring average, which is 22.4.
- Murphy has gone over on his points prop on 23 occasions this season (in 38 games with such a prop).
- The 22nd-ranked scoring NBA team (110.6 points per game) is New Orleans, while Dallas ranks 17th in the league defensively (113.5 conceded per game).
- When scoring more points than 113.5, New Orleans is 10-10.
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Pick ATS: Mavericks (- 5.5)
- Dallas has 30 wins in 56 games against the spread this season.
- New Orleans has 23 wins in 55 games against the spread this season.
- The Mavericks are 10-6 as 5.5-point favorites or more.
- The Pelicans are 12-19 as 5.5-point underdogs or greater.
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Pick OU:
Under (237.5)
- Mavericks games this season have gone over this contest’s total of 237.5 points 19 times.
- Pelicans games this season have had a combined scoring total higher than 237.5 points in 19 of 55 outings.
- Dallas has had an average of 228 points in its games this season, 9.5 fewer than this matchup’s total.
- New Orleans’ outings this season have a 226.8-point average over/under, 10.7 fewer points than this game’s total.
- The Mavericks score the eighth-most points in the NBA this season, while the Pelicans’ offense racks up the 21st-most.
- The Pelicans have allowed the 27th-fewest points in the league this season, while the Mavericks have given up the 20th-fewest.
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Moneyline Pick: Mavericks (-220)
- The Mavericks have won 18, or 66.7%, of the 27 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- The Pelicans have been underdogs in 40 games this season and have come away with the win six times (15%) in those contests.
- This season, Dallas has won 12 of its 15 games, or 80%, when favored by at least -220 on the moneyline.
- This year, New Orleans has won two of 31 games when listed as at least +180 or better on the moneyline.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mavericks have a 68.8% chance to win.
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