Heat vs. Pelicans Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – January 1

Published 9:16 pm Tuesday, December 31, 2024

The New Orleans Pelicans (5-28) are underdogs (+8.5) as they try to end a 10-game losing streak when they visit the Miami Heat (16-14) at 7:30 PM ET on Wednesday, January 1, 2025 at Kaseya Center. The contest airs on Gulf Coast Sports and FDSSUN.

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Heat vs. Pelicans Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Wednesday, January 1, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • How to watch on TV: Gulf Coast Sports and FDSSUN
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Location: Miami, Florida
  • Venue: Kaseya Center

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Heat vs. Pelicans Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Heat 118 – Pelicans 104

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Spread & Total Prediction for Heat vs. Pelicans

  • Pick ATS: Heat (- 8.5)
  • Computer Predicted Spread: Heat (-14.3)
  • Pick OU:

    Under (222.5)

  • Computer Predicted Total: 222.2
  • The Heat sport a 15-15-0 ATS record this season as opposed to the 12-21-0 mark of the Pelicans.
  • Miami (2-2) covers a higher percentage of games when it is favored by 8.5 points or more this season (50%) than New Orleans (3-8) does as an 8.5+-point underdog (27.3%).
  • New Orleans and its opponents have eclipsed the total 54.5% of the time this season (18 out of 33). That’s more often than Miami and its opponents have (16 out of 30).
  • As a moneyline underdog this year, the Pelicans are 3-23, while the Heat are 11-7 as moneyline favorites.

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Heat Performance Insights

  • On offense, the Heat are averaging 111 points per game (20th-ranked in league). They are ceding 108.7 points per contest on defense (sixth-ranked).
  • So far this year, Miami is grabbing 43.5 boards per game (19th-ranked in NBA) and allowing 45.5 rebounds per contest (25th-ranked).
  • This season, the Heat rank 17th in the league in assists, averaging 25.4 per game.
  • Miami is top-five this year in turnovers, ranking fourth-best in the league with 12.4 turnovers per game. Meanwhile, it ranks 12th with 14.2 forced turnovers per contest.
  • The Heat are draining 14.4 treys per game (ninth-ranked in league). They own a 37.3% shooting percentage (seventh-ranked) from downtown.

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Pelicans Performance Insights

  • Offensively, the Pelicans are the third-worst team in the NBA (106.7 points per game). Defensively, they are 25th (117.9 points allowed per game).
  • New Orleans is 24th in the league in rebounds per game (42.9) and fifth-worst in rebounds conceded (45.7).
  • The Pelicans are 23rd in the league in assists (24.5 per game) in 2024-25.
  • With 14.5 turnovers committed per game and 14.2 turnovers forced, New Orleans is 18th and 12th in the NBA, respectively.
  • The Pelicans are the second-worst team in the league in 3-pointers made (11.3 per game) and fifth-worst in 3-point percentage (33.5%).

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